The Big Question
Hello Friends!
Breaking News: Trump has fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics because the jobs report told the world exactly what it needed to hear for him to get his rate cuts.
In other news - Tom Lee says Ethereum is going to 15k by December. That’s nonsense… it’s going to 20!
Haha yeah - it could be a long couple of months there.
In fact it may just no longer be a fun minor detail that Microstrategy could not come within 80 bucks of the post election high on this latest move despite bitcoin at new highs. It wasn’t even a year ago when all the bulls were like ‘pay attention to microstrategy, it leads bitcoin’. And now - crickets…
But here’s bitcoin at the 50 day moving average. Still an uptrend, still trades fine and now there’s some fear out there
In fact, last Tuesday Tom Lee’s BMNR dropped to new move lows and that brought out the haters and the losers in a big way. Interestingly when ethereum and crypto rolled over and sold off to end last week - BMNR flashed a little relative strength as it’s own 50 day moving average has just about caught up. We’ll see if the bullish hater divergence continues
But the big rotation update of the week revolves around rates. Rates really had a move lower Friday and regardless of whether they go up or down - more rate volatility seems to be in the cards the rest of the year. More on that in a moment.
Jeff Hirsch from Stock Trader’s Almanac noted given the conditions, we generally get a moderate pullback in this seasonally weak time of year
Which is interesting as we’re already at 4% and a backtest of the prior high area is about 6
Of course the big question is if Friday was just one day or the start of something more